Skip to content
City PM
  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • DE
  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • DE
Thursday 23 June 2016 11:05 pm

EU referendum: Final post-vote poll indicates Remain will snag victory over Leave

By: James Nickerson

Add as a preferred source on Google

YouGov has predicted that Remain will win the EU referendum with 52 per cent of the vote.

Based on the responses of a pre-selected group of people after they voted today, the pollster predicted a victory over Leave, which garnered 48 per cent of the vote. 

YouGov's eve-of-poll result came out of in favour of Remain with a margin of 51-49 excluding "don't knows".

A separate poll by Ipsos-Mori conducted today and yesterday put Remain on 54 per cent, while Leave had 46 per cent. 

Read more: Declaration times to expected results: The definitive guide to EU referendum night

YouGov respondents had already given their voting intentions in the week. So, by re-contacting them, YouGov could assess last-minute shifts in opinion.

The pre-selected group of people were viewed as representative of the population and how the electorate actually voted in the referendum.

This poll will be a cause for concern for Leave campaigners, given how close YouGov came in the Scottish referendum last year.

Read more: Referendum fever hits as votes called for across Europe

Back then, it predicted 54 per cent to No and 46 per cent to Yes, just outside of the 55-45 result that resulted in Scotland remaining within the UK.

However, the poll is still just an indication and no exit polls were conducted after the referendum, unlike at the general election, due to methodological difficulties.

Share this article

  • Facebook
  • X
  • LinkedIn
  • WhatsApp
  • Email

Similarly tagged content:

Sections

  • News

Categories

  • Business
  • Politics

Trending Articles

  • Billionaire Easyjet founder in line for £800m payday from takeover

  • Burnham told to launch £100bn tax reform package

  • Construction sector cuts jobs again as house building slumps

  • Pension pressure to help swell UK debt to three times size of economy

  • Tickets for England World Cup quarter vs Norway on sale for $8m

More from City PM

  • On this day: Brits vote in referendum that changes everything

    Opinion
    UK flag and EU flag waving side by side, symbolizing Brexit referendum discussions and future political relations.
  • Fractured politics has its upsides – trust me, I led Vote Leave

    Opinion
  • Brexit ten years on: my journey from Remain to Leave

    Opinion
    UK Parliament voting on Brexit Leave decision, politicians in debate, capturing pivotal moment in Brexit negotiations
  • Has Brexit been a success? It’s too early to tell

    Politics
    (An anti brexit protester seen with his placard and a EU flag outside the house of parliament. -- Photo by Dinendra Haria/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
  • What if Andy Burnham had become Labour leader in 2015?

    Opinion
    Andy Burnham campaigns to be Labour leader, 2015.
  • Brexit 10 years on: Business does not want a referendum rerun, says CBI chief

    Business
    CBI Chief Economist Newton-Smith addressing economic trends at a business conference podium with charts in the background
  • Brits say Burnham should call an election

    Politics
    Number 10 Downing Street entrance with iconic black door, symbolizing British political power and leadership
  • Is it even possible to regulate ‘misinformation’?

    Opinion
    Red bus with Brexit misinformation slogan parked on a street, highlighting controversial political claims and public react...

City PM — European politics, business and analysis.

Europe

  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • UK & Ireland

Topics

  • Business
  • Markets
  • AI
  • Technology
  • Opinion
  • Energy

More

  • Politics
  • Economics
  • Fintech
  • Legal
  • Sport
  • Life

Company

  • About City PM
  • Editorial Policy
  • Corrections
  • Contact
  • Terms of Use
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy
© 2026 City PM · Published by CityPM Media, Bahnhofstrasse 65, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland
About · Editorial Policy · Corrections · Contact · Privacy