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Economics

  • Bank of England policymaker maintains interest rate cut view

    January 15, 2020

    Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Michael Saunders has said he is sticking to his view that interest rates should be cut because of weaknesses in the UK’s labour market and wider economy. “It probably will be appropriate to maintain an expansionary monetary policy stance and possibly to cut rates further, in order to reduce risks [...]

  • A tip for Dominic Cummings: Don’t hire anyone who fails to grasp the power of incentives

    January 15, 2020

    The job advert issued by Dominic Cummings for people to work in government has attracted a wide range of comments. One particular focus has been on the sorts of skills he is looking for. Computer science, forecasting, artificial intelligence, causality theory — all these topics excite his interest. Cummings advocates a small selection of scientific [...]

  • Q&A: Why would cutting air passenger duty help Flybe – and how is it damaging?

    January 14, 2020

    In a bid to save regional airline Flybe, chancellor Sajid Javid is meeting officials from the business and transport departments today. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has already shown he is against conventional bailouts for struggling companies – as he showed when he decided against keep Thomas Cook afloat in September. But one option still on [...]

  • Botswana and Zimbabwe typify Africa’s diverse capital market challenges

    January 14, 2020  |  City Talk

    CFA Institute has examined Africa’s 10 largest capital markets in a major report compiled by Heidi Raubenheimer, CFA, our senior director for journal publications. Here we highlight key developments in Botswana and Zimbabwe. Botswana: mining-dominated exchange seeking to innovate Botswana is one of the fastest-growing economies in the world. But the Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) has [...]

  • UK GDP: Pound slips on unexpectedly weak growth figures

    January 13, 2020

    Sterling has slipped following news that the economy shrank unexpectedly in November, extending earlier losses against the dollar. The UK’s gross domestic product (GDP) contracted 0.3 per cent during the month as the manufacturing and production sectors declined more than expected. The figure was expected to be flat. Read more: Sterling sinks below $1.30 as [...]

  • Sterling sinks below $1.30 as hints of interest rate cut grow

    January 13, 2020

    Sterling has fallen below $1.30 as traders expect the Bank of England to slash interest rates if the UK economy underperforms. The pound tumbled in early trading, sinking 0.5 per cent from $1.3044 to $1.2996 this morning before the release of UK GDP data. Read more: Carney rate cut comment sends pound crashing to two-week [...]

  • Increasing capital: London economy pulls away from rest of UK in December

    January 13, 2020

    London’s economic performance was “head and shoulders” above the rest of the country in December, survey data has shown, while the capital’s businesses were cheered by the emergence of some political certainty. London was the only British region where output grew in December, with firms hiring at the fastest rate since July, the data from [...]

  • Almost half of UK firms predict 2020 recession

    January 13, 2020

    Just less than half of UK firms think the country will go into recession this year, a new survey has shown, despite evidence of a rise in business confidence following December’s General Election. British firms cited increased geopolitical tensions such as trade tariffs, Brexit and regional instability as the number one risk to businesses in [...]

  • Bank of England rate-setter hints at cut

    January 12, 2020

    A Bank of England policymaker has hinted he could vote for an interest rate cut at the end of this month, making him the third BoE figure to float the idea this week. Gertjan Vlieghe told the Financial Times that if data does not show the UK economy ticking up from its current subdued state, [...]

  • Will cooling US jobs growth encourage Fed to cut rates?

    January 10, 2020

    The US economy added 145,000 jobs at the end of 2019, a figure that has raised the question of another Federal Reserve interest rate cut. While the unemployment rate remained flat at 3.5 per cent in December, the total is lower than November’s 256,000 jobs, a number boosted by striking GM staff returning to factories. [...]

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