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UK Interest Rates

  • ‘Stuff of nightmares’: Hold interest rates, City PM Shadow MPC says

    April 28, 2026

    Interest rates should be left unchanged in April but the future path of monetary policy could be unclear, City PM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee has suggested.  A group of City economists and academics has called for interest rates to be left at 3.75 per cent on Thursday, citing the risk of higher inflation due to [...]

  • ‘Outlook uncertainty’: Interest rates to be left unchanged in crunch decision

    April 24, 2026

    The Bank of England is set to leave interest rates unchanged at a highly-anticipated meeting on Thursday as investors are looking for further guidance on the impact of the Iran war on the UK economy. Markets have all but priced in a hold at the Monetary Policy Committee’s next meeting, which would leave interest rates [...]

  • War propels UK inflation in new risk for interest rate hikes

    April 22, 2026

    Inflation sped up in March, official data has revealed, giving the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee a headache as policymakers mull over whether to raise interest rates.  Inflation jumped to 3.3 per cent last month as President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu’s war on Iran led to critical trade disruption across the Strait of [...]

  • Unemployment to peak at 5.8 per cent as jobs market faces ‘biggest hit’ since pandemic

    April 20, 2026

    Britain is set to be “pushed to the brink of a technical recession” in the coming year as the economic fallout of the war in Iran dampens growth prospects and sends unemployment soaring. The latest Item Club report sees the UK economy flatlining in the second and third quarters as it digests the consequences of [...]

  • Bank of England could cut interest rates ‘if war ends’ 

    April 15, 2026

    The Bank of England could cut interest rates this year if the war in Iran ends and the Strait of Hormuz opens up within weeks, an economist at a City broker has said.   Peel Hunt’s chief economist Kallum Pickering’s current assumption is that the Bank makes two interest rate cuts at the end of this [...]

  • ‘Mortgage mayhem’: Deal lifespans hit record low as interest rate cut hopes dim

    April 13, 2026

    Borrowers have been left in a “mortgage maze” after lenders frantically pulled deals due to the unfolding crisis in the Middle East leading to the lowest average shelf-life on record. The average mortgage was on the market for just eight days in March – the lowest since records began in November 2011. This marks a [...]

  • Inflation stays above Bank of England’s target before Iran war

    March 25, 2026

    Inflation in the year to February remained well above the Bank of England’s target rate in the last piece of price data covering the period before war in the Middle East erupted.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that CPI inflation over the 12 month period was three per cent, staying flat on the [...]

  • ‘No one expects’ Bank of England to cut interest rates, says former MPC member

    March 17, 2026

    A former member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has said that “no one expects a cut” to interest rates amidst deepening conflict in the Middle East. Prof Jonathan Haskel, who is also a member of City PM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee, told BBC Radio 4’s ‘Today’ programme he believes a rates [...]

  • Mortgage lenders pull deals at fastest pace since mini-Budget

    March 11, 2026

    Mortgage lenders are pulling deals at the fastest rate since Liz Truss infamous mini-Budget amid growing agitation around the economic consequences of the Iran war. Nearly 500 homeowner mortgages have disappeared from the market in mere days, according to finanical information platform Moneyfacts, as average mortgage rates breeze past the five per cent mark. Moneyfacts [...]

  • Three more interest rate cuts could come, Bank of England official says

    February 23, 2026

    The Bank of England could make three more interest rate cuts in order to reach its neutral level as inflation drops back to two per cent over the coming year, a Monetary Policy Committee member has suggested.  Alan Taylor, an external member who has consistently voted for larger interest rate cuts over the past year [...]

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