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UK economy

  • Trump’s trade war is a test for Starmer – I fear he’ll fail it

    April 8, 2025

    Keir Starmer declared yesterday that we’re now living “in a completely new world.” He’s not wrong; Donald Trump has cut to shreds the established economic order and flung the pieces into the air. At this stage, where those pieces will land is anyone’s guess. So, Starmer is right to sense a moment. But what will [...]

  • Brits are bracing for the worst as Trump’s tariffs bite

    April 8, 2025

    Trump’s tariffs are having a seismic impact on British politics, the economy and even the national mood, the latest City PM/Freshwater Strategy poll shows, writes Matthew Lesh Last month’s City Am / Freshwater Strategy poll revealed some green shoots for the economy. While far from a glowing overall picture, the trend was towards a more optimistic outlook [...]

  • Private equity will leave London if the government doesn’t listen

    April 8, 2025

    Uncertainty over government plans to change the taxation of carried interest is driving privat equity away from London, says Edwin Richards Last week, some of the world’s biggest private equity firms urged the UK government to dilute proposed changes to the treatment of carried interest. But plenty are left wondering what this means in practice [...]

  • Global IPO plans grind to a halt amid tariff uncertainty

    April 7, 2025

    IPOs in the UK and US have been put on hold as markets panic amid uncertainty over the roll-out of US president Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs. Last week, Buy Now Pay Later company Klarna paused its IPO thanks to the tariffs, after planning to launch on the New York Stock Exchange later this month. Klarna’s [...]

  • Four interest rate cuts this year pencilled in by markets

    April 7, 2025

    Markets are betting that the Bank of England will make up to four interest rate cuts this year, double what had been predicted in late March.  President Trump’s tariffs are set to drag UK growth back by up to one percentage point, according to various forecasters, while their impacts on inflation remain ambiguous, leading investors [...]

  • Tariffs: Starmer commits to fiscal rules and not raising income tax and VAT

    April 7, 2025

    Sir Keir Starmer has stressed his commitment to the government’s fiscal rules and reiterated he would not increase national insurance, VAT or income tax, despite Donald Trump’s tariffs upending government economic policy. The Prime Minister called for “cool heads” as global markets plunged in response to the US President’s sweeping global import taxes, and said [...]

  • Rachel Reeves approval rating one point above Trump with UK voters, poll finds

    April 7, 2025

    Rachel Reeves’ approval ratings have slumped since March leaving her just one point more popular than US President Donald Trump with UK voters, a poll has found. The Chancellor’s net approval ratings have declined by 12 points since delivering her Spring Statement last month, leaving Reeves at net -43, just one point above Trump on [...]

  • Seven in 10 UK voters worried about impact of Trump‘s tariffs, polling finds

    April 7, 2025

    Seven in 10 UK voters are worried about the impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on the British economy, a new poll has revealed. Some 69 per cent of those surveyed say they are very or somewhat worried about Trump’s new global import tariffs in the UK, according to the latest City PM/Freshwater Strategy [...]

  • IFS boss: We’re screwed with or without trade deals 

    April 7, 2025

    The director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has suggested the UK could be heading for a recession as a trade deal may not be enough to revive crumbling markets or prevent a slump in economic growth.  Paul Johnson, who is set to leave the leading economics think tank in the summer, told Times [...]

  • How will the tariff turmoil affect your mortgage?

    April 7, 2025

    The fallout from President Donald Trump’s decision to impose wide-ranging tariffs on the world has left no stock market unscathed, but it’s possible Brits’ mortgages will benefit from the upset. The decision, which placed a minimum tariff of 10 per cent on all countries (including the UK), and higher tariffs on many more, has increased [...]

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