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OBR forecast

  • Voters’ verdict: Tax hikes breach manifesto and Reeves should resign 

    December 1, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves should resign following a decision to extend the freeze on income tax thresholds in a move seen by voters as a breach of Labour’s manifesto, new polling has revealed.  The government is facing intense pressure over the way it conducted economic policymaking, with questions lurking over a potential breach of the Labour [...]

  • Reeves accused of misleading country over ‘black hole’ in public finances

    November 28, 2025

    Rachel Reeves is in the firing line for “misleading the country” after the chair of the fiscal watchdog poured cold water over claims there was a black hole in public finances. In a new letter addressed to the chair of the Treasury select committee, the OBR chair Richard Hughes said he was taking the “unusual [...]

  • Leak and Let Die: OBR calls in former spook to investigate early Budget release

    November 27, 2025

    The embattled Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has brought in a former top spook to investigate how its entire forecast was published early before Rachel Reeves stood up to deliver the Budget.  Alongside the watchdog’s oversight board, Ciaran Martin, former chief of the National Cyber Security Centre – part of the security services – will [...]

  • Banks keep up their end of Rachel Reeves’ tax bargain

    November 27, 2025

    The banking industry has given Rachel Reeves some much-needed ammunition as she attempts to defend her tax-heavy Autumn Budget. After being spared from a highly-anticipated cash grab, a fleet of banks announced a fresh pump of capital in the UK economy.  Britain’s largest retail bank Lloyds Banking Group unveiled £35bn of new finance for 2026 [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Entain, Flutter sound alarm in Reeves’ tax raid aftermath

    November 27, 2025

    Good morning and welcome back to the City PM liveblog. The dust has settled on the Labour government’s second Autumn Budget and Brits have been left reeling from a £26bn tax raid. Taxes collected as a share of GDP are set to jump to an all-time high in the coming years, according to the Office [...]

  • ‘Spend now, pay later’ – Reeves drags a million more Brits into higher rate tax

    November 26, 2025

    Nearly a million more people will be dragged into paying the higher rate of income tax as Rachel Reeves took the UK’s tax burden to an all-time high. In a Budget that aims to raise some £26bn in extra government revenue by the end of parliament, Reeves extended the income tax thresholds freeze, which economists [...]

  • Autumn Budget: Don’t let OBR gaffe mask Labour’s own mistakes

    November 26, 2025

    The OBR's mistake was spectacular but accidental. The same can't be said for Labour, whose Budget missteps will do nothing to shift the economy.

  • Autumn Budget Live: Wealthy, landlords and pensions hit in £26bn tax raid

    November 26, 2025

    Welcome back to the City PM liveblog. In a shocking turn of events the UK fiscal watchdog has accidentally released the economic forecasts – intended to be published after the Budget – before the Chancellor even took to the despatch box. Rachel Reeves has raised taxes by £26bn in her second Budget, which follows on [...]

  • Budget Day: The good, the bad and the ugly

    November 26, 2025

    It seems as if we’ve been speculating about the contents of today’s Budget since the moment Rachel Reeves sat down after delivering her first one, just over a year ago. Since then, unemployment has risen (every month) and growth rates have slumped quarter-to-quarter from 0.7 per cent to 0.3 per cent to 0.1 per cent. [...]

  • Tax row erupts as Reeves tells watchdog she will break manifesto

    November 7, 2025

    The Labour government is split in a fresh tax row after Rachel Reeves reportedly told the fiscal watchdog she will raise income tax in her forthcoming Autumn Budget – a move that will break a key manifesto pledge. The Chancellor is said to have informed the Office for Budget Responsibility that an increase to income [...]

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