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Inflation

  • Bank of England should hold interest rates, City PM Shadow MPC says

    June 16, 2026

    The Bank of England should hold interest rates as inflation could stay above three per cent for several months, top economists have said. City PM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee, a group of leading economists who have provided responses independently of their respective organisations, said interest rates should be kept at 3.75 per cent.  Economists warned [...]

  • As it happened: Stocks rally as Trump touts Iran deal at G7 summit; Oil lowest since early-March

    June 16, 2026

    Welcome back to the City PM liveblog. Global leaders are gathering today in France for the G7 summit as markets digest the latest developments in the US-Iran peace deal. Relief spread across global markets yesterday after the US and Iran were confirmed to have sealed a deal to stop the fighting in the Middle East [...]

  • Interest rates set to be held as inflation to remain ‘elevated’ despite Iran peace deal

    June 15, 2026

    Interest rates are expected to be left unchanged as Bank of England policymakers wait to find out whether the Iran war peace deal holds up.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is set to keep interest rates at 3.75 per cent at a decision later this week. Its decision would suggest that the Bank is [...]

  • Inflation expectations at record high in interest rates signal

    June 12, 2026

    Inflation expectations hit a record high in the second quarter of the year, which could rattle Bank of England policymakers and build the case for an interest rate hike.  The Bank’s joint survey with Ipsos found that, on average, households believe inflation will rise by 3.9 per cent over the next five years.  It was [...]

  • An emboldened – or desperate – new government will look to wealth taxes

    June 10, 2026

    Wealth taxes are climbing back up the political agenda as the Labour party begins the process of reinventing itself for a post-Starmer era. Wes Streeting thinks he’s found “a wealth tax that works” by hiking capital gains tax while Andy Burnham is flirting with a land value tax that would naturally hit wealthy areas the [...]

  • Housebuilder Bellway warns mortgage rate hikes dampening housing demand

    June 9, 2026

    Bellway has said that recent rises to mortgage rates as a result of the Iran war are dampening demand for housing, on top of rising building cost inflation due to the conflict. The FTSE 250 housebuilder said it has seen a “moderation” in customer demand in April and May, bringing an end to a “positive” [...]

  • Jeremy Hunt: Pension triple lock is an ‘anchor drag’ on economic growth

    June 8, 2026

    Former chancellor Jeremy Hunt has warned that the triple lock on the state pension is acting as “an anchor drag on economic growth.” In an interview with City PM, Hunt said that above-inflation rises to the state pension are being funded “by more debt” on future generations and called for every major party to pledge [...]

  • Food inflation: First signs of energy cost surge feed through to supermarket shelves as discounts fail to stem price growth

    June 8, 2026

    Supermarket food inflation has risen significantly for the first time this year, a City PM analysis has found, flashing an early warning sign that the surge in energy and freight costs triggered by war in Iran is reaching shelf prices in the UK. City PM reporters gather data on around 200 prices of products across [...]

  • Jobs slump as economy ‘held up by uncertainty’

    June 8, 2026

    The UK jobs market has been handed another blow as businesses ditch permanent hires as the economy battles against domestic and international uncertainty. The latest jobs report from KPMG and REC, the professional body for recruiters, showed hiring for permanent places dropped to a reading of 44.1 in May, which sits below the neutral 50 [...]

  • Is it time to change how we measure inflation?

    June 3, 2026

    Measures of inflation are hugely influential on policy but struggle to account for the pace of technological innovation, says Paul Ormerod During this decade, the rate of inflation has become a key factor in determining living standards. Many benefits are linked to it. It sets a marker for wage demands. And when it goes up, [...]

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