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Thursday 05 January 2023 7:53 am  |  Updated:  Thursday 05 January 2023 12:19 pm

Next: Prices to rise in the spring – but boss hopeful inflation will ease in second half

By: Emily Hawkins

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Next has warned it will lift prices further in the spring as the retailer’s chief said he was optimistic that inflation would let up in the second-half of the year.

The fashion firm hiked its full-year profit guidance after seeing better than expected sales over the Christmas shopping period.

The high street staple lifted its pre-tax profit guidance by £20m to £860m, in an update for the nine weeks to 30 December.

“There is inflation in the system at the moment but we can see inflation easing as we move into the second half of year,” Lord Simon Wolfson told CityA.M.

The supply chain was “in much better shape” versus last year, with delays in freight times easing up and transport of goods being quicker, he added.

Sales of full-price items were 4.8 per cent higher than last year, although bosses warned sales for the year ending January 2024 would still be down 1.5 per cent against the current year. 

The London-listed titan said that it had underestimated the hit from the Covid-19 pandemic on its retail sales last year, when many shoppers were still swerving the high street due to virus fears.

Bosses admitted they may have also underestimated the impact of improved stock levels on trade at both online and physical stores. Like many of its high street neighbours, Next was hammered by “exceptionally low” stock levels due to supply chain disruption last year.

Shares in the retailer shot up eight per cent in early trading on Thursday morning.

Next warned that underlying product sales were anticipated to dip 2.2 per cent over the year ahead.

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Its initial guidance placed profit before tax to be £795m for the year ending January 2024, down 7.6 per cent versus the current year.

While bosses acknowledged this forecast may be seen as “overly cautious in the context of our performance in the second half of this year,” they pointed to dwindling consumer confidence.

He said it was hard to anticipate what the balance between high street and online sales would be over the next year. “There is no measure of confidence we can give you,” Wolfon said.

Next was not planning to change its approach of discounting only during its end of season and mid season sales, Wolfson said.

Charlie Huggins, head of equities at Wealth Club, commented: “This is another impressive performance from the bellwether of the UK high street, reinforcing Next’s reputation as one of the best run UK retailers.

Demand for clothing would be dampened by eye-watering prices of essential goods, especially energy, rising mortgage costs as consumers’ fixed interest rate deals expire, and Next’s own price hikes. 

The retailer said inflation in its like-for-like selling prices would be around eight per cent in the spring/summer of 2023/24 and six per cent in the autumn/winter period.

Chief executive Lord Wolfson warned in August that shoppers were likely to spend less in the second half of the year because of rising prices. 

Earlier this year, Next snapped up troubled fashion chain Joules for £34 million in December, after it teetered on a collapse into administration.

Next also bought the brand, websites and intellectual property of furniture business Made.com.

Read more

Inflation stays below three per cent despite price warning

The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at four per cent due to stubbornly high inflation.

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