US Presidential Election 2016: How did financial markets react to the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump? September 27, 2016 Financial markets have decided Democrat Hillary Clinton came out on top in the first US presidential debate last night, as stock markets rallied and key currencies soared. In a pattern which should sound familiar to UK market-watchers over the last few months, markets have started to move back-and-forth in response to developments on the campaign trail. [...]
The great fall of China: If the Chinese economy sinks, it’ll take Britain down with it September 27, 2016 Forget the chatter around the economic risk posed by Brexit, for a more dangerous spectre looms: China’s massive debt pile and the potential for a painful slowdown in the Asian powerhouse. Former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, Ken Rogoff, said yesterday that a slowdown in China is the greatest threat to the global [...]
Chinese officials cautious despite three-year record industrial profits September 27, 2016 China’s industrial firms grew profits at the fastest rate in three years during August. Profits for the month in the world’s second-largest economy grew by 19.5 per cent to 535bn yuan (£62m) according to data released by the country’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) – the best monthly growth since August 2013. Read more: China sees [...]
As a beleaguered Deutsche Bank faces a $14bn fine, Angela Merkel has ruled out state aid, but could a bailout be on the cards? September 27, 2016 Recent discussion of possible European bank bailouts has focused on Italy. Saddled with €360bn of souring loans and enfeebled by a stagnant, over-regulated economy, a number of Italian lenders face a very real risk of insolvency. In July, the country’s third largest, Monte dei Paschi di Siena, failed a stress test set by the European Central [...]
Investors turn bearish on global business cycle amid uncertainty September 27, 2016 Rising uncertainty has led to investors feeling less confident about the global business cycle. Those expecting global equities to rise has dropped to under half (47 per cent), down from 70 per cent just under two years ago, according to the latest Absolute Strategy Research (ASR) survey. Respondents think there is a 41 per cent [...]
Fears over hard Brexit send sterling to a five-week low against the euro September 26, 2016 Rising fears that the UK is heading for a so-called hard Brexit has driven the pound to five-week lows against the euro. Sterling dropped to its lowest level since 16 August against the euro, and also slid against the dollar. The government's stance on Brexit has appeared to be hardening recent, sparking fears in the [...]
Is China’s toxic debt pile the greatest threat the global economy faces? September 26, 2016 Mike Jakeman, global analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit, says Yes. The Chinese government has already performed one economic miracle – in the 30 years from 1980, it pulled almost 700m people out of extreme poverty. Now it requires another – to wean its fattened economy off a diet of public investment and onto helpings of household [...]
International trade secretary Liam Fox’s steer towards hard Brexit has got the City worried – here’s why September 25, 2016 The government's stance on Brexit appears to be hardening, with international trade secretary Liam Fox set to advocate that the UK pushes ahead and becomes an independent member of the World Trade Organisation (WTO). This would set the UK on a path to leave the EU’s customs union, an area that allows the free movement of goods [...]
Economists are expecting more positive data on consumer confidence this week as shoppers shrug off the Brexit vote September 25, 2016 Consumers' worries about the economic impact of the Brexit vote are fading, as economists are expecting positive data on sentiment to be released this week. Confidence in the UK economy slumped immediately after the EU referendum, but now economists are expecting an uptick. Read more: West End gets Brexit boost as sales to tip over [...]
Boris Johnson hints Article 50 should be invoked before May 2017 September 25, 2016 Foreign secretary Boris Johnson has indicated Article 50, the official signal for Britain leaving the EU, should be triggered before May next year to avoid Britain having to participate in European elections and send new MEPs to Brussels. Britain is due to participate in electing candidates to the European parliament in elections set for May 2019, but [...]
