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Economics

  • UK’s producers are quick off the blocks as Eurozone sees five-year high in manufacturing activity

    February 1, 2017

    UK manufacturers have shrugged off big input price increases to start 2017 in fine form, while activity in the Eurozone has reached its highest point since a debt crisis almost brought the continent’s economy to its knees, according to closely watched indicators. Growth in the sector’s output reached its highest point since May 2014 as [...]

  • Why the economics profession remains blind to the benefits of Brexit

    February 1, 2017

    The office for National Statistics last week estimated that the UK economy grew at an annual rate of 2.4 per cent in the final quarter of last year. This is slightly above the long-term average growth of the past three decades. But a Financial Times survey this month showed that the majority of economists remain [...]

  • UK consumers are set for a big hit as inflation spikes this year

    February 1, 2017

    Inflation is set to spike this year with the hit to consumer spending denting UK growth, according to an influential group of economists. Annual growth in the consumer price index will average 3.3 per cent in 2017, according to the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr), before slowing to 2.9 per cent next [...]

  • HMRC lays out plans to scrap yearly tax return and replace it with continuous online reporting

    January 31, 2017

    The annual tax return will be a thing of the past by 2020, according to HMRC – potentially saving the taxman over £8bn per year. Under the government's proposals – part of its Making Tax Digital project – taxpayers will keep the Revenue updated online on a continuous basis, rather than filing a yearly return. [...]

  • China, Mexico, Japan: Who’s afraid of Trump’s protectionism?

    January 31, 2017

    Anyone hoping that Donald Trump’s campaign promises were just talk can’t have been encouraged by this weekend’s events. Stock markets fell and the dollar was volatile yesterday on the news that the President had signed an executive order banning the entry of people from seven countries. Assumptions that he would row back from his more protectionist [...]

  • With fresh IMF warnings over Greece’s “unsustainable” debt, is the Eurozone crisis about to heat up again?

    January 31, 2017

    Jennifer McKeown, chief European economist at Capital Economics, says Yes. The IMF’s renewed assertion that Greek public debt is unsustainable is little more than a statement of the obvious. But it suggests that the Fund will not contribute to the bailout as had been hoped, implying that Eurozone creditors will need to foot the bill [...]

  • New in-depth study finds apprenticeship levy is little more than a stealth tax and could distort training schemes

    January 31, 2017

    The apprenticeship levy, a flagship government scheme intended to boost the training of young people, has been slammed as little more than a stealth tax following a damning new report by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) which found it represents “poor value for money”. The levy will apply to all businesses with a payroll [...]

  • Consumer confidence climbed this month, but signs point to slowing spending in 2017

    January 30, 2017

    Overall consumer confidence edged up this month, but Britons showed they have less faith in making major purchases, signalling a spending slowdown in the year ahead, a new report suggests. GfK's consumer confidence index, published today, climbed two points to minus five in January. Three of the five measures experienced increases this month, one was unchanged and one decreased. It was the [...]

  • Higher Germany inflation raises pressure on ECB to tighten monetary policy

    January 30, 2017

    Inflation in Germany rose to just short of the target set by the European Central Bank on price stability, raising pressure further on a historically loose monetary policy stance. Headline inflation rose to 1.9 per cent year-on-year in January, up from 1.7 per cent the month before, according to the German statistics office. Most of [...]

  • Morale in Europe’s businesses rises to highest since before the Eurozone debt crisis hit in March 2011

    January 30, 2017

    Confidence in the Eurozone economy has jumped to its highest level since before the debt crisis six years ago ravaged the bloc’s businesses. The European Commission’s economic sentiment indicator rose above economists’ expectations to 108.2, a reading not seen since March 2011. Industry confidence increased markedly, as production expectations grew more optimistic. However, confidence in [...]

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