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Economics

  • ‘Escalation scenario’ increasingly likely in US-China trade war, warn Barclays analysts

    May 24, 2019

    An “escalation scenario” is becoming “increasingly likely” in the US-China trade war, analysts at Barclays have warned, as China mulls its options for retaliation against US tariffs. Read more: China warns of trade repercussions after Huawei ban The Barclays note came after tough talk from China on the trade conflict, with President Xi Jinping this week [...]

  • We must learn from past mistakes to mitigate the impact of the next financial crisis

    May 24, 2019

    It’s sometimes hard to believe that the global financial crisis happened more than a decade ago, and that back in 2008 the world of banking and finance was headline news on a daily basis. Read more: Jury discharged in fraud trial of senior Barclays executives Political and technological developments have changed the world immeasurably since [...]

  • US private sector output falls to three-year low as trade war bites

    May 23, 2019

    The ongoing trade war with China helped push business activity growth in the US to a three-year low in May, according to widely-watched survey released today. Read more: Chip designer Arm to suspend business with Huawei Output in manufacturing and services was held back by lower demand and subdued growth of new orders, which firms [...]

  • German manufacturing output falls but services push economy to growth

    May 23, 2019

    Germany’s manufacturing output fell for the fourth month in a row in May as new orders fell, according to the latest IHS Markit survey of the country’s private sector. Read more: Eurozone sees weak growth in May amid stagnant demand May saw the third straight monthly decrease in employment in the manufacturing sector, making the overall [...]

  • Eurozone economy limps to weak growth in May amid stagnant demand, says survey

    May 23, 2019

    The Eurozone saw subdued business growth in May as demand stagnated, with manufacturing facing the toughest conditions of any sector, according to a new survey. Read more: EU slashes its forecast for German growth as it predicts Eurozone slowdown New export orders fell markedly once again, their eighth successive monthly fall, according to today's widely-watched [...]

  • ii Winter Portfolio doubles after fifth market-beating year

    May 22, 2019  |  City Talk

    After an amazing fifth winter, our portfolio almost doubles in value and beats all the global indices, proving that international investors are wrong to ignore UK stocks. It also proves it is possible to time the market. Five years ago, our interest was piqued by a stock market phenomenon that promised consistent market-beating returns year [...]

  • UK inflation rises above two per cent target as energy costs increase

    May 22, 2019

    The UK’s core inflation rate climbed to 2.1 per cent in April, as rising energy costs pushed up by the higher Ofgem price cap fed into dearer prices in the economy, official statistics have revealed. Read more: UK economy bounces back, but is growth just a ‘flash in the pan’? Traditionally, inflation above the Bank [...]

  • The extremist Green party is trying to overthrow capitalism

    May 22, 2019

    The Green Party is doing well. It gained nearly 200 council seats in the recent local elections and is hoping for a strong showing in the European ones this week. Publicity over school children going “on strike” to protest about climate change has helped. With politicians competing to fawn over the truants, the Green Party [...]

  • Puzzled over Australia’s shock election result? Economics can help explain

    May 22, 2019

    The surprise of the week was the re-election of the centre-right Coalition government in the Australian General Election. The Labor opposition had led every major opinion poll for the past two years. But Scott Morrison of the Coalition is still Prime Minister – and it is his Labor opponent who is resigning as leader. Economists, regardless [...]

  • US-China trade tensions a major threat to global growth, says OECD

    May 21, 2019

    Global economic growth is under threat from the escalating US-China trade conflict, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has warned. Read more: Global markets in tailspin after Trump threatens huge China tariff rise The OECD’s closely-watched Economic Outlook said if current tariffs between the two countries are maintained, they will shave between 0.2 [...]

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