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Economics

  • UK economy grows more than expected but remains ‘fundamentally weak’

    January 16, 2026

    The UK economy grew more than expected in November last year but remained “fundamentally weak”, official data has shown, reflecting businesses’ nerves about Rachel Reeves’ Budget measures.  New Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures showed growth in the UK economy inching up. Business analysts warned over several months that pre-Budget speculation had dampened spending and [...]

  • UK jobs at risk from ‘over-reliance’ on China

    January 16, 2026

    Tens of thousands of jobs in high-growth sectors are feared to be at risk due to the UK’s trading reliance on China, researchers have warned.  The Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), a left-leaning think tank that has shared a close relationship with senior Labour figures, has warned that around 90,000 jobs are at the [...]

  • Watch: We’ll regret granting this embassy to hostile China

    January 15, 2026

    Is China our enemy or our ally? Is it an adversary or a partner? The trading relationship is huge, but so are the security risks. In the City, China means big business. Last year the UK exported £30bn worth of goods and services to China while we bought £70bn worth from them. But we exported [...]

  • Sadiq Khan: AI could bring ‘mass unemployment’ to London

    January 15, 2026

    Sadiq Khan has warned that AI could become a “weapon of mass destruction” for jobs across London unless the government takes proactive action to ease its impact on work. The London Mayor said AI’s impact on the capital city will be “nothing short of colossal” over the coming years.  In a Mansion House speech to [...]

  • Gary’s Economics predictions are unravelling

    January 15, 2026

    The new year is a great time to check whether past predictions have stood the test of time. So I revisited the forecasts of one of London’s better-known economic sooth-sayers, Gary Stevenson, known to you and me as Gary’s Economics thanks to his viral Youtube channel. Two years ago, almost to the day, Gary released [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Gold surges amid Trump tensions; JLR leads growth rebound

    January 15, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City PM liveblog. Rachel Reeves’ report card for 2025 has received another dim review with fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showing growth came in at a sluggish 0.1 per cent in the three months to November 2025. This was led by a modest rebound [...]

  • Davos: Economic war is the ‘biggest global risk’

    January 14, 2026

    Trade wars and economic disputes between global powers are the biggest risk to the world over the next two years, business leaders, academics and government officials have said in a report ahead of the World Economic Forum’s Davos meeting.  Nearly a fifth of respondents in a survey (18 per cent) by the World Economic Forum [...]

  • Bank of England’s Taylor: Trade with China to drive interest rate cuts

    January 14, 2026

    Cheap goods flooding into the UK from China will lower inflation and prompt the Bank of England to cut interest rates further, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee has said.  Alan Taylor, considered to be the most dovish rate-setter on the MPC, warned that cheap goods flowing in from China would lower inflation over [...]

  • The City has moved on from Brexit

    January 14, 2026

    Whisper it, but Brexit is slowly inserting itself back into our national conversation. We remain, thankfully, a long way from the frenzied tribalism of the referendum campaign or the energy-sapping parliamentary drama that followed, but while these days Nigel Farage may be more interested in small boats than backstops, the issues is being discussed – [...]

  • Former OBR chair takes aim at Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules 

    January 13, 2026

    The former chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility has taken aim at Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules, suggesting they prevent UK public finances from building enough “resilience”.  In his first public appearance since his resignation last month due to the leaked Budget, Richard Hughes said the current fiscal rules were “among the loosest” the [...]

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