Pandemic hysteria is blinding us to the virus’s real risks August 31, 2020 I have long held off writing this column, as I well know it will lead to some hysterical responses. Nevertheless, the credo of any good opinion writer surely must be to be fearless, to fly in the face of received opinion if the cause is just. And there has rarely been a greater need for [...]
Could AI help Rishi Sunak revive the UK economy? August 29, 2020 This was once meant to be the year the government balanced the books, a literal pay off for years of tight purse strings under George Osborne’s austerity programme. Instead, 2020 has seen government debt balloon to over £2 trillion. The coronavirus pandemic has meant UK spending has rocketed far beyond any previous peacetime records, leaving [...]
Andrew Bailey says Bank of England ‘not out of firepower’ August 28, 2020 Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has said the central bank is “not out of firepower” with which to tackle the coronavirus downturn “by any means”. In fact it seemed like the Bank underestimated the amount of firepower it had left before coronavirus hit, the governor told the online Jackson Hole economic policy symposium. Yet [...]
Eurozone business confidence picks up as bloc stages recovery August 28, 2020 Eurozone businesses became more confident about the economy in August as the bloc gradually recovered from the fallout of the coronavirus pandemic, according to new survey data. The closely watched Eurozone economic sentiment indicator rose 5.3 points to 87.7 in August, the European Commission said today. However, sentiment remained well below its long term average, [...]
Fed to tolerate higher inflation in major policy shift August 27, 2020 The US Federal Reserve has announced a new approach to monetary policy that will tolerate periods of higher inflation, paving the way for it to leave interest rates near record lows for the foreseeable future. Fed chair Jay Powell announced the central bank would try to achieve inflation averaging two per cent over the longer [...]
UK economy: Retail footfall grows but job vacancies flatline August 27, 2020 The UK economy has continued its mixed recovery, with the number of Britons venturing out to the shops rising again but online job adverts staying flat for the third week in a row. Some areas remained in much worse shape than others, with 51 per cent of workers in the art and entertainment sector furloughed, [...]
Struggling economies can learn from Cyprus how to deal with the Covid-19 crisis August 27, 2020 International businesses and investors are right now wondering whether governments are really up to the task of handling the fallout from the global shutdown. With real GDP in the EU predicted to shrink by 9.3 per cent in 2020, the message from the European Commission is that the speed at which countries will recover depends [...]
Service sector employment fell sharply in last quarter as UK entered recession August 27, 2020 Employment fell sharply across the UK services sector in the three months up to August as the coronavirus pandemic sent the country into the deepest recession on record. The service sector dominates the business landscape in this country, making up nearly 80 per cent of the economy. According to a survey conducted by the CBI, [...]
Germany extends job-support scheme – contrasting with UK’s approach August 26, 2020 Germany has extended its job-support programme that subsidises workers’ wages at coronavirus-hit firms until the end of 2021 in a bid to support its economy. The move contrasts sharply with the UK’s approach. British chancellor Rishi Sunak has pledged to end the country’s “furlough” scheme in October. Germany’s scheme, known as “short-time work” or “Kurzarbeit”, [...]
Jackson Hole symposium: All eyes on Fed chair Powell August 26, 2020 After an extremely busy few months, the world’s central bankers may have fancied a relaxing trip to the Teton mountain range in the US state of Wyoming. Yet it’s not to be. The coronavirus pandemic has forced this year’s Jackson Hole economic policy symposium to be held online on 27 and 28 August. Since 1982, [...]