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Economics

  • UK services sector ‘close to stalling’ as coronavirus cases surge

    November 4, 2020

    The recovery in the UK services sector slowed sharply in October as a surge in coronavirus cases and new restrictions knocked the economy, a survey has shown. The IHS Markit/Cips services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) – a closely followed measure of the sector’s health – fell to 51.4 in October, down heavily from 56.1 a [...]

  • Four things to watch as the Bank of England sets interest rates

    November 4, 2020

    The Bank of England’s group of interest rate-setters will announce their latest monetary policy decision tomorrow, albeit virtually. Since the last meeting in September, the government has announced a new month-long lockdown for England amid soaring coronavirus cases. Most analysts expect the Bank to launch more stimulus to support the economy during the winter. Here [...]

  • Lockdown 2.0: A creative destruction revolution, or the death knell of innovation?

    November 4, 2020

    So Boris Johnson has failed to follow his own government’s guidelines on cost-benefit appraisal.  Study after study by economists show that the costs of lockdown far exceed the benefits. The NHS — the “envy of the world” — has conspicuously failed to develop sufficient capacity to deal with a second wave, despite having had months [...]

  • UK jobs market weak ahead of lockdown despite rise in vacancies

    November 3, 2020

    The number of firms looking to add to their workforces grew in the third quarter after a historic contraction in the spring, but the UK jobs market remained weak ahead of the recently announced second lockdown, a survey has shown. In the third quarter, 37 per cent of firms attempted to recruit, according to the [...]

  • Boris Johnson doubles support for self-employed during new lockdown

    November 2, 2020

    Prime Minister Boris Johnson has announced a doubling of support for the self-employed during England’s new coronavirus lockdown and an extension of the deadline for government-backed business loans. Johnson addressed the House of Commons this afternoon after announcing a month-long lockdown on Saturday. MPs will vote on the new measures on Wednesday, with both Labour [...]

  • Keir Starmer lashes out at Rishi Sunak over second lockdown delay

    November 2, 2020

    Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has lashed out at chancellor Rishi Sunak, blaming him for blocking a “circuit breaker” lockdown in September and demanding that he do more to support the economy amid new restrictions.

  • Goldman Sachs and Citi slash UK GDP forecasts on news of second lockdown

    November 2, 2020

    Goldman Sachs and Citi have sharply cut its economic forecasts for the UK in the fourth quarter following news of a fresh national lockdown in England to curb the second wave of coronavirus infections.  In a client note, Goldman analysts said the US investment bank now expects UK GDP to shrink 2.4 per cent in [...]

  • UK factories expand but lose momentum amid second wave

    November 2, 2020

    The UK manufacturing continued its recovery in October as output and new orders climbed, but the rate of expansion slowed as the economy headed into a tough winter, a survey has shown. The IHS Markit/Cips manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) – a gauge of the sector’s health – slipped to 53.7 in October from 54.1 [...]

  • Eurozone manufacturing sector’s recovery continues despite restrictions

    November 2, 2020

    The Eurozone manufacturing sector’s rapid expansion continued in October, driven by a boom in demand for German goods as economies reopened, a survey has shown. However, the manufacturing growth comes against a backdrop of a slowdown in the services sector as coronavirus cases rise and governments impose new restrictions. The IHS Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ [...]

  • CBI deputy: A no-deal Brexit on top of coronavirus is ‘very, very worrying’

    November 2, 2020

    For a while in the summer it looked as though the CBI’s annual conference – a highlight of the business calendar which kicks off today – could be celebrating an economy on its way back to health. But a surge in coronavirus restrictions and new lockdowns across the country mean it is likely to be [...]

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