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Economics

  • OBR and Hunt fail to see eye-to-eye on the UK’s fiscal position

    November 22, 2023

    Listening to Jeremy Hunt, you would be forgiven for thinking the UK's public finances were in rude health. The OBR may disagree.

  • OBR downgrades UK growth prospects as higher interest rates bite

    November 22, 2023

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has downgraded its growth forecasts for the UK economy over the next couple of years as higher interest rates bite.

  • Alarm over economy ‘slowing swiftly’ with manufacturing deteriorating to 2021 low

    November 22, 2023

    Order books for manufacturing firms fell to their weakest level since early 2021, dampening hopes of a recovery in the sector.

  • Sluggish global growth cannot be an excuse for Britain ignoring opportunities

    November 22, 2023

    An industrial strategy will not go amiss, but we must look at far more to fix Britain's growth problem, writes Paul Ormerod

  • Business budget: Hunt vows to cut taxes and boost investment by £20bn a year by 2030

    November 21, 2023

    Jeremy Hunt has vowed to boost business investment by £20bn a year by 2030 ahead of the Autumn Statement.

  • Latest borrowing figures pose headache for Hunt ahead of Autumn Statement

    November 21, 2023

    Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said that "October’s data likely are more indicative of the trend over the coming months".

  • Markets ‘underestimating’ the risks on inflation, Bank of England warns

    November 21, 2023

    Four members of the Bank's MPC agreed that there were clear risks that inflation could remain elevated despite the sharp fall in October.

  • UK borrows more than expected ahead of Autumn Statement as tax cuts mooted

    November 21, 2023

    The government borrowed more than expected in October, providing a “timely reminder” about the state of the UK’s fiscal position ahead of the Autumn Statement. According to figures from the Office for National Statistics, the government borrowed £14.9bn in October, £1.2bn more than had been pencilled in by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). This [...]

  • Reasons to be cheerful? Why the UK could dodge a recession

    November 21, 2023

    After the most recent GDP figures for the third quarter, it is all but certain that the UK will avoid a contraction this year. So are there still reasons to be optimistic about the UK's performance over the coming months?

  • Wage growth nudges higher — what does this mean for the Bank’s war on inflation?

    November 21, 2023

    Pay awards have picked up again in the last three months thanks to higher pay packets from the public sector, complicating the path to potential interest rate cuts.

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