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Economics

  • Andrew Bailey: Regulators must not be complacent on shadow banking threat

    October 22, 2024

    Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, warned regulators need more tools to deal with threats to financial stability today as he sounded the alarm on the “opaque” nature of the ‘shadow banking’ sector. In a speech at Bloomberg’s Global Regulatory Forum in New York, Bailey drew attention to the systemic risks posed by [...]

  • UK economy receives hefty growth upgrade from IMF

    October 22, 2024

    The international fiscal watchdog now expects the UK to grow 1.1 per cent in 2024, up from a previous forecast of 0.7 per cent.

  • Borrowing figures show Reeves is in a fiscal bind ahead of Budget

    October 22, 2024

    The latest figures showed that borrowing in September exceeded expectations yet again, driven by higher government spending.

  • It’s hard work working out what ‘working people’ means

    October 22, 2024

    Politicians do like to lump people together. In recent years we’ve had the squeezed middle, the just-about-managing, hard working families and (who could forget?) Nick Clegg’s “alarm clock Britain.” To this list of amorphous jargon we must now add “working people.” Labour figures have been leaning on the phrase for months, not least as part [...]

  • Bank of England to cut interest rates to 2.75 per cent, Goldman predicts

    October 21, 2024

    The US investment bank argued that Bank Rate would fall to as low as 2.75 per cent by November next year, whereas it had previously expected the terminal rate to be three per cent.

  • ‘Highly damaging’: Capital gains hike would make UK even less competitive

    October 21, 2024

    Lifting capital gains tax (CGT) would damage the competitiveness of the UK’s already poor tax regime, new analysis suggests. Research by the Tax Foundation suggests that the UK’s tax regime ranked at 30th out of 38 OECD countries in terms of competitiveness, up one place due to the introduction of the full-expensing policy last year. [...]

  • Labour must pull back from the brink and support the UK’s founders

    October 21, 2024

    With half term holidays upon us, Portugal is a safe bet for a bit of winter sun. The forecast for Lisbon this week is 24 degrees and sunny, whereas London is set to be much cooler with rain sweeping in by Friday. Things may get even gloomier when the Chancellor unveils her Budget next week. [...]

  • Rachel Reeves could borrow £80bn over next five years, lenders say

    October 20, 2024

    Rachel Reeves could borrow an extra £80bn to fund the government's ambitious spending plans for infrastructure and green energy, according to lenders.

  • Why do economists think public investment is good for growth?

    October 19, 2024

    As the Budget approaches it seems clear that the government is preparing to ramp up public investment.

  • Inflation, interest rates and tax: What happened in the economy this week?

    October 18, 2024

    The health of the UK economy is attracting more and more attention as the Budget draws nearer, and there was plenty for commentators to digest this week. Here’s a brief recap: What to make of this week’s news? First, the danger of inflationary persistence seems to be diminishing, with noticeable progress on both wage growth [...]

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