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Economics

  • Fear over Labour plans to allow firms to extract cash from pension schemes

    April 3, 2025

    The vast majority of pension scheme members are “afraid” of government plans that would allow firms to take cash from defined benefit (DB) schemes for investment.  Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves signalled earlier this year that “trapped surplus funds” in DB pension schemes would be unleashed for firms to invest.  But a [...]

  • Week in Business: Will Donald Trump’s trade war blow up the UK economy?

    April 3, 2025

    Liberation Day, Independence Day, the greatest day in American history? Or the end of the global economic order and the start of a dangerous new world? In the end it was classic Trump, sometimes reading from an autocue as if for the first time, sometimes veering off script in erratic directions, calling out supporters in [...]

  • Trump tariffs to drag global growth down by trillions of dollars

    April 3, 2025

    Donald Trump’s tariffs is set to drag the world economy down by trillions of dollars, according to forecasts by leading economists.  The International Monetary Fund estimates the current global economy is worth more than $115 trillion and it has been predicted to grow by around three per cent, per various forecasts.  But since Trump announced [...]

  • UK services and composite PMIs underwhelm economists

    April 3, 2025

    The UK service sector saw a “modest expansion” in March but economists overestimated S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) readings for the month.  S&P Global’s latest composite PMI reading, which takes an average of manufacturing and services output for the month, came in at 51.5.  The figure points to a slight expansion in UK output [...]

  • Rachel Reeves: UK will not ‘rush into action’ after Trump’s tariffs speech

    April 2, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has indicated that the UK is unlikely to respond quickly to President Trump should he impose damaging tariffs on goods coming from Britain.  In a hearing at the Treasury Committee on Wednesday, Reeves said the UK would not “rush into action to get a quick headline”.  “The prize on offer is a [...]

  • Trump’s tariffs could crush UK growth to zero

    April 2, 2025

    US President Donald Trump’s tariffs could knock UK growth down to zero next year, according to the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR).  The prospect of low or zero growth would deal a catastrophic blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ plans for further investment in public services as estimates by NIESR suggest that a [...]

  • Wage growth falling for low-paid workers despite minimum wage hike

    April 2, 2025

    Wage increases among low-paid workers are at their lowest level in three years, according to the jobs website Indeed, as economists fear high inflation will erode incomes.  Business secretary Jonathan Reynolds said on Tuesday that an increase to the national minimum wage would mean that low-paid workers could help drive growth across the UK.  But [...]

  • Trump’s car tariffs to put 25,000 UK jobs at risk, IPPR say

    April 2, 2025

    President Donald Trump’s 25 per cent tariffs on all car imports to the US could destroy thousands of UK jobs, the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) have suggested.  The think tank estimates that around 25,000 jobs will come under threat as a result of Trump’s tariffs due to come into effect on Wednesday.  The [...]

  • IFS director: Tariffs risk undermining ‘best case’ OBR forecasts 

    April 1, 2025

    Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) director Paul Johnson has raised questions about whether the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)’s forecasts would remain credible should President Trump slap tariffs on UK goods on Wednesday.  The OBR’s report included modelling by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) published in January. The IMF’s analysis did not consider the potential [...]

  • Probe launched into ONS governance and data quality

    April 1, 2025

    The government has launched an independent investigation into the UK’s beleaguered statistics watchdog to ascertain how its official data and surveys have become so unreliable. The remit of the probe – commissioned by the Cabinet Office and UK Statistics Authority (UKSA) – will span the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) culture, leadership and structure, and [...]

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