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Economics

  • Firms mildly confident about growth after worst reading on record

    September 1, 2025

    Firm owners are now mildly confident about seeing their companies grow after July’s reading showed business confidence at the second-lowest level on record, according to a leading industry group’s monthly survey.  A survey by The Institute of Directors (IOD) has said that business leaders’ confidence in their own organisations is now in positive territory, having [...]

  • Investec raises growth forecast and backs November interest rate cut

    August 29, 2025

    Global banking firm Investec has lifted its growth projections for the UK economy with another interest rate cut pencilled in for 2025. The financial services company expects the UK economy to grow 1.5 per cent this year and 1.6 per cent in 2026. This trumps the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast, which expects the [...]

  • Natwest and Lloyds shares lead £8bn plunge amid bank tax fears

    August 29, 2025

    Shares in a number of Britain’s biggest banking giants tumbled on Friday as speculation that Rachel Reeves would use the sector for an easy cash grab ramped up. Natwest topped the FTSE 100’s fallers, losing over five per cent. Meanwhile, Lloyds was down nearly four per cent, Barclays just over two per cent, whilst HSBC [...]

  • Business confidence edges up despite tax raid fears

    August 29, 2025

    Business confidence has grown for the fourth consecutive month, according to a fresh survey, despite rising speculation of a fresh tax raid on businesses by the Labour government. Lloyds Bank’s business confidence index edged up two points to 54 per cent in August as sentiment among manufacturers climbed to its highest in a decade. The [...]

  • Rachel Reeves’ winter fuel raid to raise £1.3bn less than hoped

    August 29, 2025

    Rachel Reeves’ fiscal agenda has been dealt another chilling blow with new data revealing savings from the winter fuel allowance will be lower than hoped after Labour’s row back. The Chancellor’s winter fuel raid will raise £1.3bn less than originally planned before the government U-turned following a rebellion from backbenchers. Just £227m is set to [...]

  • Rachel Reeves told ‘copy Margaret Thatcher’ with bank tax raid

    August 29, 2025

    Britain’s banking titans are back in the hot seat as Rachel Reeves faces renewed calls to hike taxes on lenders. The self-described “iron Chancellor” has been advised to take a leaf out of Margaret Thatcher’s book with a fresh levy on banks that would hand the Treasury up to £8bn a year. The levy – [...]

  • Household costs hit private renters and families in Labour’s first year

    August 28, 2025

    Household costs rose higher for families and renters than other groups in the year to June, official data has shown, as inflation has nearly doubled in the first year of Labour compared to the last year of the previous Conservative government. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said overall UK household costs rose by 3.9 [...]

  • Watch: Are we on the brink of a financial crisis?

    August 28, 2025

    This might be the calm before the storm; the final stretch of a summer holiday that we might look back on as heady days before things turned very nasty indeed. Yesterday I interviewed the Prime Minister, the Chancellor and the Business Secretary – all lined up in the City PM studio. The video will be [...]

  • Torsten Bell: Who is the mastermind behind the 2025 Autumn Budget? 

    August 28, 2025

    When parliamentary candidates were revealed ahead of last year’s elections, Torsten Bell was one of the better-known names on Labour’s list. With his glaringly wonkish CV and swaggering way of talking up esoteric economic policies, he seemed primed to one day leave his mark on a Budget.  According to the New Statesman, his opportunity to [...]

  • Services sector in one year of pessimism, CBI suggests

    August 28, 2025

    The UK services sector’s pessimism in business prospects has now lasted a full year, a new survey has found, providing further evidence that the trust between businesses and the Labour government has broken down.  Labour ministers have rolled out a number of strategy papers over the last months to offer firms across the country a [...]

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