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Economics

  • Trump’s trade war pushes exports and people to UK

    September 20, 2025

    President Donald Trump’s brutal tariffs have pushed Canadian exporters across the pond, fresh data has shown, with further US policies on immigration also expected to draw more workers towards the UK. Official figures by Statistics Canada show that the country’s exports to the UK spiked by as much as 63 per cent in the months [...]

  • Economists tell Rachel Reeves to target wealthy pensioners

    September 20, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves should target wealthy pensioners to ease pressures on the public purse and allow infrastructure investment pledges to be protected, top economists and former ministers have said.  Former Cabinet secretary Gus O’Donnell, ex Tory minister and Goldman Sachs executive Jim O’Neill, and top economists including Mariana Mazzucato have urged the government to “rebalance” [...]

  • ‘Staggering’ – Public sector borrowing in August jumps to highest in five years

    September 19, 2025

    Public sector borrowing in August has jumped to its highest level in five years, raising fears of huge tax hikes in the autumn to balance the books. Borrowing – the difference between total public sector spending and income – was £18bn in August 2025, £3.5bn more than last year and the highest since 2020, when [...]

  • Interest rates could fall to three per cent – City PM Shadow MPC 

    September 18, 2025

    Interest rates could fall as low as three per cent, according to a group of economists in City PM‘s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), but a rocky year for the UK economy could keep borrowing costs high.  The Bank of England voted to hold interest rates on Thursday at four per cent due to sticky [...]

  • Reeves’ tax hikes ‘won’t bring inflation down anytime soon’, Smeg warns

    September 18, 2025

    The tax hikes introduced by Chancellor Rachel Reeves in last year’s Autumn Budget will mean it is “sometime” before inflation gets down to the government’s two per cent target, the UK arm of kitchenware brand Smeg has warned. The Abingdon-based division said the increase to employers’ National Insurance contributions, which came into effect in April, [...]

  • Was this actually Starmer’s best week?

    September 18, 2025

    £150bn of investment has been pledged by US giants, itching to pour their money into the UK – including more than £30bn to turbocharge our artificial intelligence base. The choreography was masterful, and I don’t just mean the military and Royal welcome dolled out to the Trumps and their entourage, although it was pretty spectacular.  [...]

  • Bank of England holds interest rates and slows down QT to £70bn

    September 18, 2025

    The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to hold interest rates amid sticky inflation, with a decision to slow down its quantitative tightening (QT) process also made in light of febrile markets raising borrowing costs.  MPC members made a dual decision at its September meeting on interest rates and the sale of [...]

  • Reeves considering ‘staggered stamp duty payments’ to boost housing market

    September 18, 2025

    A proposal to spread stamp duty payments across several years, in an effort to drive growth and boost the housing market, is among changes to property tax being considered by the Treasury ahead of Budget discussions with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).  Suggested reforms to stamp duty would allow house buyers to pay the [...]

  • What the US tech investments tell us about the UK’s public markets

    September 18, 2025

    There was some debate in the City PM newsroom on Tuesday over which story should grace the front page yesterday. On the one hand, news of £30bn worth of tech investment offered the kind of optimism we’re always looking out for, but on the other hand news came that global fund managers were pulling out [...]

  • Labour warned Employment Rights Bill will damage jobs market

    September 17, 2025

    Labour’s Employment Rights Bill must be changed immediately to prevent the UK’s jobs market crisis from worsening, top business groups have warned Peter Kyle in a last-ditch attempt to secure growth-focused changes.  The government’s workers’ rights reforms have faced strong opposition from thousands of businesses across the UK, with bodies representing their interests claiming changes [...]

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