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Wednesday 22 December 2021 7:42 am

UK economic growth: Sharp pullback as GDP climbs by just over 1 per cent and contraction expected this month

By: Michiel Willems

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Fitch said that "policy choices are key to reducing UK fiscal uncertainty".
Fitch said that "policy choices are key to reducing UK fiscal uncertainty".

The UK economy grew at a slower pace than first thought between July and September, at 1.1 per cent, compared with the 1.3 per cent initial estimate, the Office for National Statistics said this morning.

This was before the impact of the new Omicron variant of coronavirus.

This marks a sharp pullback on growth in the second quarter, when UK output increased by a revised 5.4 per cent following the easing of Covid-19 restrictions.

Experts expect the economy to contract in December as consumers retrench in the face of the new variant sweeping across the UK and restrictions to control it, with fears that further measures could also affect the first quarter of 2022.

But the ONS said the UK economy has recovered more ground towards where it was before the pandemic struck thanks to a stronger rebound than first thought in 2020, and is now 1.5 per cent below where it was at the end of 2019.

Darren Morgan, ONS director of economic statistics, said: “Our revised figures show UK GDP recovered a little slower in the third quarter, with much weaker performances from health and hairdressers across the quarter, and the energy sector contracting more in September than we previously estimated.

“However, stronger data for 2020 means the economy was closer to pre-pandemic levels in the third quarter.

“With the economy reopening in the third quarter, households saved less in the latest period.

“However, household saving was still up on pre-pandemic levels.”

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