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Monday 09 October 2023 10:12 am  |  Updated:  Monday 09 October 2023 4:27 pm

Airline shares plunge on fears for oil prices and travel over Israel conflict

By: Guy Taylor

Transport Reporter

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Shares in British Airways owner IAG fell sharply, the second biggest faller on the FTSE 100

Airline stocks tumbled on Monday as investors fretted over rising oil prices and the extent the conflict in Israel will dent demand for travel in the Middle East.

Shares in British Airways owner the IAG fell sharply, down over five per cent by close and marking the second biggest faller on London’s FTSE 100 index, while Germany’s Lufthansa dipped by more than four per cent.

Low-cost carriers Wizz Air and Easyjet fell further, down 6.6 per cent and 6.1 per cent respectively.

Easyjet halted all flights to Tel Aviv on Sunday and Monday, while changing the timings of its flights for the coming days.

Wizz Air announced on Sunday it had suspended all flights to and from Tel Aviv until further notice. The budget carrier said yesterday: “We are continuing to monitor the situation closely and are in touch with the relevant authorities. The safety and security of our passengers and crew is our number one priority and all affected passengers will be contacted via email or text.”

Following Hamas’s attack, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared that the country is “at war” with Hamas militants that rule the Gaza Strip, and has launched retaliatory air strikes.

The conflict has caused a surge in oil prices by denting output from the Middle East, which accounts for almost a third of the global supply.

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Wizz Air ‘resilient’ after route cancellations wipe out profit

Wizz Air reported a hefty drop in annual profit as it grapples with long-running supply chain issues and conflict Ukraine and the Middle East.

Major benchmarks Brent Crude and WTI Crude were both up more than four per cent and rose to $88 and $86.3 per barrel respectively on Monday.

The spike prompted fears among investors that fuel prices, a major part of airlines’ cost base, could hit a slew of company’s bottom lines.

“Shares in IAG, the owner of British Airways, Wizz Air and easyJet were all down sharply in early trading, and cruise ship operator Carnival sagged too,” Russ Mould, investment director at investment platform AJ Bell, said.

“This was partly in response to a spike in oil prices, as fuel is a big part of the firms’ cost base even if they can and do hedge their future purchases to some degree, but also the result of wider fears over demand for travel should the Middle Eastern conflict last or even spread, and consumers decide to hold off from making fresh holiday plans.”

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, said investors were nervous about the “repercussions of the conflict both in the short and longer term,” and particularly the prospect of it widening across the Middle East.

“Just as airlines had regained their pre-pandemic wings on a surge of pent-up demand, there is concern that people will be more nervous to take flights to destinations near the region.”

Streeter added: “Oil prices have also jumped up again, and although they still aren’t yet back at the recent highs reached at the end of September, there is also some nervousness creeping in about the volatile path of oil and inflationary pressures for airlines.”

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Castlelake urges Easyjet investors to back £4.7bn takeover bid 

Easyjet will be looked to for any guidance on the impact of recent French air traffic control strikes when it updates on Thursday.

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