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Monday 10 October 2016 1:28 pm

Donald fails to trump Hillary as Clinton storms ahead in betting polls with chances that have “never looked stronger”

By: Francesca Washtell

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Some commentators have chalked up the second US presidential election debate as a win for Republican hopeful Donald Trump. 

But Clinton's chances have "never looked stronger", according to betting experts Smartbets – and other bookies agree.

At the town hall-style debate last night, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Trump came to blows over taxes, Clinton's email saga and a newly-released video in which Trump made lewd comments about groping women without their consent. 

Read more: In quotes: The most shocking moments from the US presidential debate

Clinton now has a 79 per cent likelihood of moving into the White House after the 8 November election, according to bets placed on the UK-based exchange Betfair. Her chances rose even higher, to 82 per cent, during the debate itself. 

Trump has around a 20 per cent chance if bets placed on Betfair are to be believed, while on betting exchange Smarkets Clinton has a 75.3 per cent chance to Trump's 20.1 per cent. 

Read more: Nigel Farage defends Trump's "alpha male boasting"

"Although there was only a marginal movement during the debate, the market had already exploded into life over the weekend as Trump's campaign trail seemingly fell off a cliff in the light of some damning footage from 2005," said Betfair spokesperson Barry Orr. 

The out of favour Republican candidate entered Sunday night’s debate at 6.0 (5/1 or a 17 per cent chance), his lowest price since becoming the official nominee but after a not-tragic performance from the businessman he was backed into 5.0 (4/1 or a 20 per cent chance).

Read more: Donald Trump accused of inciting violence against Hillary Clinton

Bookmakers William Hill and Ladbrokes (which do not calculate odds in percentages), were offering short odds of 2/9 on a Clinton win compared to 10/3 for Trump, while Ladbrokes are slightly longer odds of 2/7 and 11/4 for Clinton and Trump respectively. 

(Just to keep things interesting, William Hill also still has longer odds for other possible candidates including Bernie Sanders [50/1], Michael Bloomberg [100/1] and Mitt Romney [200/1].)

Clinton's ranking in the polls was widely thought to have taken a knock when she collapsed with pneumonia at a 9/11 memorial event, but Trump's video scandal seems to have put her back in a comfortable lead where bettors are concerned. 

A string of prominent Republicans including 2008 Presidential candidate John McCain and former secretary of state Condoleeza Rice have now withdrawn their support for Trump as a result of the latest scandal.

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